
News report of 20.06.2008
Russia & CIS Business and Investment Weekly
INDICATORS
Chief Russian Financial and Macroeconomic Indicators
EVENTS IN THE COMING WEEK
HEADLINE NEWS
Digest of Headline News
COVER STORY
Fridman slams BP as TNK-BP dispute looks headed to court
Administrative charges initiated against Dudley, TNK-BP Management
OPINION
Ministry should focus on accelerated advancement of power sector - Putin
Russia does not fear drop in oil prices - Kudrin
Mandelson hopes to see Russia in WTO by November 2009
ANALYSIS
MMK, NLMK to benefit if govt backs down on steel duties - analysts
POLITICS. ECONOMY
Russian monetary base up 91.9 bln rubles to 4359.6 bln rubles
Federal customs revenue tops 1.8 trillion rubles by June 20
Russian tax receipts rise 36.7% to 4.14 trln rubles in Jan-May
Russian GDP grows 8.5% in Q1 2008 – Rosstat
World Bank president praises Russian economy
Russia’s early repayments to World Bank unlikely this year
Russia will increase its contributions to World Bank – Putin
Russian OECD membership talks to last more than 2 yrs – ministry
Russian intl reserves up $2.4 bln to $551.5 bln in week to June 13
Russia could see 12% inflation in 2008 – CB
Kudrin admits difficulty of keeping inflation under 10.5% forecast
State spending won’t exceed 18% of GDP in 2009-2011 – Kudrin
Several hundred pyramid schemed closed in Russia since early 1990s –
Interior Ministry
U.S. treasury secretary will come to Moscow to mull mutual investment in
June
ECHR decision on Lebedev comes into force
COMPANIES & MARKETS
ENERGY & RESOURCES
Russia ups gas, electricity and coal production in 5 mths, oil down –
Rosstat
Russian government plans to review oil export duties more often
Gazprom Neft readies five bond issues totaling 35 bln rubles
Lukoil uses $1 bln loan to retire debt from Nelson Resources acquisition
Gasunie acquires 9% stake in Nord Stream
Tatneft wants discount loans for bituminous oil producers
Anti-monopoly service opens case into growing aviation fuel prices
Medvedev demands strict meeting of deadlines in laying ESPO
Construction to begin on second phase of ESPO pipeline in Dec 2009 –
Transneft
Sakhalin Energy raising $5.3 bln from JBIC, bank consortium for Sakhalin-
2
LNG project on Yamal could be structured as Shtokman – Gazprom
Poland reiterates opposition to Nord Stream
Gazprom, E.ON hold positive talks in St. Petersburg
Gazprom, WIEH to extend gas supply contract for 35 yrs
Gazprom’s export policy will not hinder Russia’s entry to WTO –
negotiator
Gazprom wants to replace RosUkrEnergo on Polish market - Warsaw
Gazprom pledges stable deliveries to Poland regardless of
RosUkrEnergo’s future
TNK-BP plans IPO in oilfield service assets
Ex-Gazflot chief named to head company that holds Shtokman license
Kyiv preparing symmetrical response if Russia ups gas price
Ukrainian govt insists severance of PSA with Vanco was lawful
ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION & DISTRIBUTION. NUCLEAR POWER
RUSAL management backs Norilsk electricity spin-off
Electricity exports could top 11.8 bln rubles in 2008 - Inter RAO
Irkutskenergo plans to place 5 bln rubles in bonds over five mths
Irkutskenergo maintains 2007 dividend at 2006 level
OGK-6 net profit at 1.547 bln rubles in 2007
RAO UES reduces stake in Inter RAO to 64.5%
Onexim to take part in electricity system realignment - Kommersant
OGK-1 likely won’t be sold before July 1
IES mulls new acquisitions, asset sales
EBRD to finance IES purchase of RCS blocking stake
Regulator denies KT Projects clearance to buy 50.9% of Moscow power
sales co
Technopromexport sends first group of experts to Afghanistan
Mosenergo boosts IFRS net profit 240% in Q1
New HydroOGK CEO to be appointed within one month
METALS & MINERALS
Russia exports 11.8 mln carats in diamonds in Q1 - MinFin
RUSAL says not buying Norilsk Nickel votes
Esmark rejects Severstal offer, rival Essar ups bid
Vekselberg supports idea to form Rusal-Nornikel-Metalloinvest alliance
Polymetal announces sale of Kerimov’s stake to IST, PPF and Alexander
Mamut
Expected oversupply of nickel could turn to deficit – Norilsk
Alfa to buy stake in Silver Bear
Severstal plans to acquire Italian hardware factory
Hyundai Steel eyes Yakutia coal
Udokan copper tender put back until Sept 17
Federal govt gains control of diamond miner Alrosa
Verkhotina diamond field owners will have to work with Alrosa –
Vybornov
Russia’s Inprom postpones IPO indefinitely
METAL GOODS & ENGINEERING
Russian car production soars 18.8% in 5 mths – Rosstat
EADS: still willing to take UAC stake
Russlegavto to buy passenger car production technologies from China’s
Chery
Ford plans to boost Russian sales 17% in 2008
Sukhoi to implement record dividend payout for 2007
IT & TELECOMS
Russian communications market grows 21% in Q1
Subscriber base of Russian cellular operators grows 0.9% in May
Sistema invests $348 mln in India’s Shyam Telelink
MegaFon to launch 3G networks in 25 Russian regions in 2009
MegaFon discussing acquisitions in Kyrgyzstan, Afghanistan
Russia’s MGTS boosts US GAAP net profit 42.3% in 2007
CenterTelecom boosts FY07 IFRS earnings 50%
TRANSPORT
Aeroflot very optimistic about purchase of Czech Airlines
Aeroflot ups FY07 IFRS earnings 21%, below forecasts
Aeroflot forecasts 30% revenue growth, lower net profit owing to fuel
costs
Russian Railways might sell 25% of Elteza to strategic investor
Saudi Arabia plans to invite RZD to tender again - embassy
RZD hires Troika Dialog, Morgan Stanley to arrange TransContainer IPO
Yakunin to head RZD for another three years – source
FOOD & AGRICULTURE. PROCESS INDUSTRIES, FORESTRY & TIMBER
Food prices growing at faster pace in Russia than in Europe – Rosstat
Russian grain prices dropped 3% last week – Agriculture Ministry
Russian meat production up in Jan-May while bread, milk and sugar
output down - Rosstat
Russia’s fish catch up 6.3% since start of 2008
EU specialists hold assessment of Russia’s fish export inspection system
Russia demands safety guarantee for Rokiskio suris cheese
Razgulay sets up agriculture holding co
Razgulay boosts IFRS net profit 33% to 1.23 bln rubles in 2007
Lebedyansky shareholders approve restructuring for Pepsi deal
Scotland’s William Grant & Sons invest $10 mln in whiskey promotion in Russia
Baltika begins exports to Hungary, Romania
Timber export duties impede Russia-EU WTO talks – European
Commission
Russia’s Ilim Group aiming for IFRS net profit of $180 mln in 2008
CHEMICALS & pharmaceuticals
Russia plans to purchase foreign assets in pharmaceutical industry –
Khristenko
Uralkali to raise potash price for domestic market July 1
SIBUR denies it purchased 51% of Mineral Fertilizers
CONSUMER GOODS. RETAIL
Wal-Mart plans to expand into Russia and India – Financial Times
X5 Retail boosts stake in Urals subsidiary, plans to launch franchise in
Ivanov and Kostroma
Azbuka Vkusa shareholders invest up to $100 mln in development of
Olive supermarket chain
CONSTRUCTION & PROPERTY
Prokhorov loses blocking stake in Open Investments after share issue
Sistema-Hals ups net profit 350% in Q1 media
Prof-Media may conduct IPO in late 2009
Yandex to open office in Silicon Valley
FINANCIAL & BUSINESS SERVICES
Central Bank to offer 10 bln rubles in OBR June 26
Sberbank places $500 mln in LPNs, coupon at 6.468%
Sberbank could borrow $5 bln abroad in 2008 - Gref
VTB Bank placing 1 bln euros in LPN at 295 basis points against swaps –
source
Gazprombank begins road show on June 16
Yield guidance on $500 mln in Gazprombank bonds at 350 b.p. to swaps
Russia’s Ak Bars Bank could postpone IPO until 2009
Transcreditbank places Eurobonds at 9% - source
Germany’s Ergo to invest 20 mln euros in Russian business in 2008
AXA buys 36.7% of RESO-Garantia
CIS
Belarussian economy grows 10.4% in Jan-May
Belarus forecasts 10% GDP growth in 2008
National Bank of Belarus forecasts 32%-39% increase in money supply for 2009
Kazakhstan’s foreign trade surplus soars 160% in Jan-April
Kazakhstan’s fixed capital investment up 16% in 5 mths
Kazakhstan ups gold production 3.5% in 5 mths
Kazakhstan ups oil production 7%, gas – 16% in 5 mths
Kazakhstan edges steel output up 0.7% in 5 mths
Kyrgyzstan expands economy 6.7% in Jan-May
Foreign investment in Kyrgyzstan grows 35% in Q1
Tajikistan posts 6.8% inflation in Jan-May
GDP growth slows in Tajikistan in Jan to May given winter energy crisis
FORECASTS & MARKETS ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL MARKET
DOLLAR LOSES OVER 11 KOPECKS
GOVERNMENT SECURITIES
OFZ QUOTATIONS POST VARYING QUOTATIONS FOR WEEK OF JUNE 16-
20
RUSSIAN EUROBONDS SEE MODERATE GAINS
STOCKS
RTS SETTLES AT AROUND 2400
RESULTS OF RUSSIAN STOCKS TRADING IN RUSSIAN TRADING SYSTEM
STOCK INDEXES
CORPORATE BONDS
Cbond prices likely to edge down in coming week
Nb: This news report features only the headline of each news
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